← Store Champs @ Sinners Refuge
Wind SeiryuuTier 1
at Store Champs @ Sinners Refuge
decks
2
(13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
3-4-0
overall winrate
42.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.1%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1281
· median 1281
· range 1056–1507
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
989
Q1 1149
Q3 1393
1507
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.2% | +11.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.6% | -18.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.0% | -9.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Rai | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.8 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.2% | -9.3 |
| Slimes | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.8% | -8.3 |
| Water Razorgale | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Seiryuu decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
